AirLand redux? Early lessons from Ukraine

The war in Ukraine signals a return, with a vengeance, of the hider-finder game of air warfare, both for airspace superiority and to exploit the air for battlespace effects. Against what appeared at the onset to be a resurgent great power seeking to overwhelm a significantly weaker neighbor, Ukraine has relied on airpower, modern system tactics and training, and passion to at least level the playing field against the Russian onslaught to enable them to readily evade (‘hide’) from conventional force attacks and Russian air defense sensors while more efficiently finding conventional military targets. Though the war is far from over, it has already yielded numerous lessons that airpower advocates and joint-minded leaders should apply to other conflicts. Counter-land drone tactics and greater reliance on coordinated fires from multiple domains suggest that significant challenges are ahead for military operations. Long-simmering US doctrinal feuds that the US military has largely sidelined during the war on terrorism need to be directly addressed now in order to anticipate the future battlespace.

What Russia’s Elites Think of Putin Now

The president successfully preserved the status quo for two decades. Suddenly, he’s turned into a destroyer.

Ukraine’s successful counterattack means that for the first time ever in Russian President Vladimir Putin’s 22 years in power, he has to deal with elites who disagree with him—on strategic decisions over Russia’s war in Ukraine and how the war may end. Having launched the war not just without any internal discussions, but without even informing key players, Putin has taken huge risks politically. If the war were going well, that gamble would have paid off, but today, as Ukraine is counterattacking and Russia is retreating, questions about Putin’s decisions are mounting. There are fears that Russia may lose outright. If the president fails to convince the elites that he remains a strong leader with a clear understanding of where he is taking the country, uncertainty may become a significant political risk to Putin’s regime.

What Do Americans Care About? Not a Cold War With Russia and China

The Biden administration will soon release its National Security Strategy, which is being revised in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The document will no doubt trigger a renewed debate about how the United States should gear up for a new Cold War against Russia and China. But before we plunge into a global great-power competition, it’s worth recalling President Biden’s promise to create a “foreign policy for the middle class” and take a look at what most concerns Americans.

Ukraine War: Still a Cuban Missile Crisis in Slow Motion

Russia’s use of tactical nuclear weapons could trigger a cataclysmic nuclear exchange.

Thousands of demonstrators join Fridays for Future’s global day of action to stand with Ukraine by walking down Willy-Brandt-Strasse, a main thoroughfare in Hamburg, Germany.

Le refoulement des migrants s’intensifie en Algérie

Plus de 600 migrants d’Afrique centrale et de l’ouest sont arrivés le 17 septembre dans le nord du Niger après avoir été refoulés par l’Algérie.

Repoussés, ces migrants ont rejoint la ville nigérienne d’Assamaka, située non loin la frontière algérienne. L’Algérie aurait expulsé depuis 2014 des dizaines de milliers de migrants irréguliers originaires d’Afrique de l’Ouest et centrale, selon les Nations unies.

L’Afrique de l’Ouest utilise de plus en plus de drones contre les groupes terroristes

Depuis janvier, le Burkina Faso utilise des drones armés, ayant passé, comme ses voisins – le Togo et le Niger – commande en 2021 pour des Bayraktar TB2, de construction turque. La plupart des drones armés utilisés en Afrique sont produits par des partenaires du Sud, comme la Turquie, la Chine ou encore l’Iran. Et s’ils sont de plus en plus visibles dans les cieux, de la Corne de l’Afrique jusqu’au Sahel, ces déploiements ne suffiront pas à changer la donne face à la menace terroriste, selon des experts.