The world is on the verge of a big war

This text is a philosophical reflection on the attack on Venezuela and the operation to change the regime in Iran. I am sure that now, looking at what is happening in world politics, everyone has finally realized that international law no longer exists. He’s gone.

SOVEREIGNTY AS A STATE OF EMERGENCY: GEOPOLITICS OF THE TRUMP ERA

Death of International Law and Celebration “Power Policies”

Question: Alexander Gelevich, let us turn to the turbulence of the turn of 2025-2026. We are witnessing a synchronous escalation: Venezuela, Greenland, Trump’s new rhetoric, instability around Iran. Why did this geopolitical “prodile” fall so hard?

Turkey’s Dangerous Defense Pivot

Is the new Turkish-Saudi-Pakistani defense pact an attempt at an Islamic NATO or a strategic self-sabotage?

Excerpt

The idea of a budding “Islamic NATO” under Turkey, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia might seem bold and fresh in a period of Middle Eastern “realignment.” But don’t dismiss it out of hand as the emergence of a symbolic new regional alliance: the trilateral convergence risks creating conflicting security commitments. In the event that a pact is signed, NATO’s southern flank might face strategic incoherence if Ankara’s obligations were to diverge from the alliance’s priorities, challenging coordination with Washington and European partners.

“The Autonomous Administration”: al-Sharaa’s decree is insufficient to protect Kurdish rights

The Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria commented on Saturday, 17 January 2026, on a decree issued by Syria’s transitional president, Ahmed al-Sharaa, regarding Kurdish rights in Syria.

It said the decree could be considered a first step, but that it does not meet the aspirations and hopes of the Syrian people, who have made great sacrifices and waged a real revolution to obtain their legitimate rights and build a democratic state where everyone can live a free and dignified life based on justice and equality.

How Sudan’s shifting battlefield will test Egypt’s ‘red lines’

After El-Fasher’s fall, Egypt faces the choice of intervening in a war against UAE proxies, or standing by as its ‘red lines’ in Sudan fade into irrelevance

For nearly a thousand days, Egypt’s posture toward the civil war in Sudan was one of “strategic patience,” as Egypt’s Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty framed it.

Pakistan’s Reportedly Planned Arms Deal With Sudan Presages Problems For The UAE In Africa

Pakistan is functioning as the force multiplier in the Saudi-Turkish-Egyptian proxy campaign against the UAE in Africa that it’s finally participating in after sitting on the sidelines for so long.

Reuters recently reported that “Pakistan nears $1.5 billion deal to supply weapons, jets to Sudan”, which follows last month’s report from them that “Pakistan strikes $4 billion deal to sell weapons to Libyan force, officials say”. It was assessed after the last-mentioned report that “Pakistan Is Playing Second Fiddle To Turkiye In Afro-Eurasian Security” since there’s now a pattern of it clinching security deals with third countries like Azerbaijan, Somalia, and then Libya sometime after its Turkish strategic partner does.

Islamic Nato in making? How Turkish arms, Saudi cash and Pakistan nukes could align — all about the defence pact

Islamic Nato in the making? Turkey is seeking to join a defence alliance between nuclear-armed Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, this can be seen as an effort in direction to reshape security alignments in the Middle East region and beyond, as Bloomberg reported.The pact, initially signed by Pakistan and Saudi Arabia in September, reportedly states that “any aggression” against one member would be treated as an attack on all — a provision that mirrors Article 5 of Nato, of which Turkey is a member and fields the second-largest military after the US.

The SDF’s Approach to Integration Talks in Syria and the Risk of Expanded Conflict

Recent clashes between Damascus and the Kurdish forces in Aleppo highlight the risk that stalling integration talks may trigger broader violence.

Since its signing on March 10, no tangible progress has been made on the eight-point agreement between the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the Syrian Interim Government to facilitate SDF integration into the Interim Government’s armed forces. Instead, the talks have run past the agreement’s provision for implementation to be reached by the end of 2025, and violence between the two sides quickly unfolded in Aleppo once the talks stalled after the deadline.