The End of Hamas

The consensus among analysts is that Hamas is down, but hardly out. The group may be badly battered, but it has been around since 1987, and in that time, it has been repeatedly attacked by Israel and has always grown back. The conditions that gave rise to the organization—occupation, dispossession, and humiliation at the hands of Israel—are as severe as ever. And in the Gaza Strip, there is no comprehensive alternative to Hamas’s governance. Even in its weakened state, the group has institutional memory, administrative infrastructure, and coercive capacity that its competitors cannot match.

Chantage géopolitique dans la Corne de l’Afrique : Israël attise une nouvelle guerre au Sahel

La région de la Corne de l’Afrique se transforme à grande vitesse en un dangereux terrain d’expérimentation pour des ambitions militaires étrangères. La dernière spirale de tensions internationales est provoquée par la militarisation rampante du Somaliland, une république autoproclamée qui a déclaré unilatéralement sa sécession de la Somalie dès le début des années 1990. Derrière la façade du «développement des relations bilatérales», on distingue clairement la stratégie agressive de Tel-Aviv : tenter d’établir une tête de pont pour frapper les Houthis yéménites. Ce geste cynique a déjà déclenché une avalanche de critiques de la part de la communauté internationale, qui accuse Israël de déstabiliser la sécurité déjà fragile de l’Afrique de l’Est.

Empire of Spectacles: Trump’s Carnival for America’s 250th Birthday

The Fourth of July should mark 250 years since the signing of the United States Declaration of Independence—a moment to reflect on freedom, self-government, and the fragile architecture of democracy. Instead, under Trump, America’s birthday risks becoming less a civic celebration than a carnival of vanity, complete with flags, fireworks, and carefully choreographed self-worship.

Inside Rubicon: The Structure of Russia’s Elite Drone Center

Officially formed in August 2024 by Russian Defense Minister Andrey Belousov, the “Rubicon” Center was created to centralize and scale Russia’s previously fractured unmanned technology initiatives (aerial, ground, and naval) under a unified umbrella responsible for research, procurement, training, and operational deployment.

Heartland vs. Rimland: The Battle Lines in the War for the Next Global Order

At first glance, today’s strategic map seems familiar. A bloc of land-based powers, clustered around the center of Eurasia, is challenging a liberal, maritime order headed by an offshore superpower. China and Russia, reinforced by Iran and North Korea and ringed by autocracies from Belarus to Myanmar, now occupy the role that Napoleonic France, imperial Germany, and the Soviet Union each once held—continental empires seeking to dominate Eurasia and project power globally. The United States, like the United Kingdom before it, remains the only actor capable of anchoring a great arc of coastal and maritime countries across North America, Europe, and East Asia that hem in the Eurasian supercontinent. The rhythm of geopolitics repeats itself: an autocratic axis, emerging from the continental heartland, seeks to rupture rimland barriers that buffer the wider world.

Analysis of the Characteristics of US Intervention in the Ukraine Crisis and Two Military Strikes Against Iran

June 12, 2026 – On February 28, 2026, the United States launched Operation Epic Fury against Iran. A comparative analysis of the US intervention in the Ukraine crisis since 2022 and the “Midnight Hammer” precision strike against Iran in 2025 reveals new trajectories and characteristics of US military intervention. The intervention posture has shifted from behind-the-scenes manipulation to overt leadership; troop deployment has shifted from limited support to systemic application; intervention is more proactive, more precise, more systematic, and more assertive in its control.

Beyond the Battlefield: Fallout from the Iran Conflict

Irrespective of whether a deal is reached to end the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, it seems likely that Tehran will continue to cultivate a network of proxy groups, including terrorist organizations, criminal entities, and so-called “disposable agents” both in the Middle East and abroad.

Not Resurgence, but Recalibration: ISIS in Syria

While the Islamic State (IS) remains territorially defeated in Iraq and Syria, emerging gaps in the region’s security landscape have incentivized the group to change its modus operandi.

When looking quantitatively at IS operations, attack numbers have hit a historic low thus far in 2026, with two spikes in IS activity in February and June against a range of diverse targets.

UN says Afghanistan’s opium collapse is reshaping global heroin market

Afghanistan’s dramatic collapse in opium production following the Taliban’s nationwide drug ban is fundamentally reshaping global heroin markets, reducing supplies of the drug while raising the risk that traffickers and users will increasingly turn to more dangerous synthetic opioids, according to a United Nations report released Friday.