Contrôle total d’Iran/Oman à Ormuz, Trump contraint aux négociations, résistance du Liban & Israël au bord de l’effondrement

Téhéran prouve que la guerre a renforcé le leadership iranien. Les provocations de Katz & le risque d’une guerre civile confirment que la véritable menace d’effondrement concerne bien Israël.

Téhéran inflige un camouflet à Washington avec des funérailles rassemblant des millions de personnes… et les provocations de Katz précipitent la défaite de la “ligne jaune” au Liban. — Talal Nahle

Ukraine’s Strike Campaigns Will Likely Continue to Hurt Russia’s Economy and Military Operations in Ukraine

Executive summary: Ukraine’s long- and intermediate-range strike campaigns against Russian energy and logistics infrastructure in Russia and occupied Ukraine are causing significant effects on the Russian economy and impacting Russia’s ability to sustain its frontline military efforts in Ukraine. Ukrainian forces have recently intensified these coordinated strike campaigns, causing severe gasoline shortages across Russia and occupied Ukraine. Ukraine’s strike campaigns are causing Russia to lose petrochemical export revenue that could have gone toward its war effort and are starting to impact Russia’s frontline logistics. The Kremlin is implementing an array of temporary mitigations to try to ensure sufficient gasoline flows to the domestic market and to address problems facing consumers while downplaying the severity of the wide-scale gasoline shortages and projecting a facade of stability. The Kremlin will likely fail to address the direct cause of the gasoline shortages — Ukrainian strikes against Russian energy infrastructure —because the Russian defense industrial base (DIB) and military are likely unable to rapidly strengthen Russia’s air defense umbrella to cover the frontline and its vast rear simultaneously. Ukrainian forces will likely be able to continue — if not escalate — their long-range strike campaign until Russia is able to find a solution to its air defense insufficiencies. Ukraine’s strike campaigns against Russian petrochemical infrastructure and logistics will likely continue to degrade Russia’s struggling wartime economy and have growing consequences on Russia’s frontline operations in the future. The Kremlin has repeatedly underestimated Ukraine and failed to prepare its defenses against attacks in past years, and such miscalculations are vulnerabilities that Ukraine has exploited and can continue to exploit.

Les études classiques comme infrastructure stratégique – Pourquoi les grandes puissances lisent Thucydide

Consultez chaque jour le compte Telegram de Robert Steuckers (liens vers des articles, dans les six langues de l’Académie Royale) : t.me/steuckers

La rivalité sino-américaine est devenue l’une des questions déterminantes de la politique internationale. Les décideurs et les universitaires des deux côtés de la barrière se sont retrouvés à discuter, à plusieurs reprises, d’un historien grec mort il y a vingt-quatre siècles: Thucydide.

Scission du temps et fin des accords d’Anchorage

Animateur: La semaine dernière s’est tenue la conférence « Philosophie du futur. Idées et significations ». Dans une lettre de bienvenue, le président du pays, Vladimir Poutine, a souligné ce qui suit, je cite: « Le besoin d’une analyse philosophique profonde et responsable des événements en cours et des défis contemporains grandit». Je propose donc de commencer notre conversation par le rôle de l’Europe dans ces défis contemporains. Vous avez émis de nombreuses remarques sur le comportement de l’Occident lors de cette conférence, c’est pourquoi je vous pose la question suivante: l’analyse philosophique existe-t-elle aujourd’hui chez ceux qui siègent à Bruxelles? Pourquoi les politiciens actuels choisissent-ils consciemment la voie de l’abîme, si vous me permettez cette expression?

NATOisation of the Western Pacific in an attempt to drive a wedge between China and Russia

On July 3, Putin donned a military uniform. His usual attire of suits and ties, coupled with his sudden change to military uniform to inspect command posts and receive frontline reports, sent a clear signal: the situation was no longer ordinary. In the Russian mindset, donning a military uniform signifies a critical juncture. Russia is facing a real threat.

What Future Awaits Ukrainian Military-Aged Male Refugees In The EU?

Recent moves at the European and national levels bode ill for them.

The European Commission proposed to exclude new military-aged Ukrainian men from the bloc’s special refugee protection scheme per Ukraine’s request to help replenish its lost forces. For background, new Ukrainian Defense Minister Mikhail Fedorov shockingly revealed in January that 200,000 men have already deserted thus far and ten times more (2 million) are actively dodging the draft. Moreover, adult men comprise 26% of the 4.3 million Ukrainians in the EU for another one million potential conscripts.

Rapport sur la fin de l’empire : La cascade diesel-engrais.

Rapport sur la fin d’un empire : La cascade diesel-engrais

Réflexions sur les temps difficiles à venir.

Un article rédigé en collaboration avec Alex Ingersoll, correspondant spécialisé en IA

Ce qui suit est le fruit d’une longue séance d’interrogatoire entre l’auteur et Alex Ingersoll, un journaliste spécialisé en IA mis à contribution non pas pour générer un consensus, mais pour être confronté à la controverse, vérifié et contraint de défendre ses chiffres face au scepticisme d’un économiste de terrain à l’égard des statistiques institutionnelles. La méthode était simple : énoncer une thèse, exiger de l’IA qu’elle trouve des preuves du contraire, écarter toute source provenant d’institutions manifestement optimistes, et observer ce qui subsiste lorsque l’argument est finalement examiné par des mécanismes concrets plutôt que par un appel à l’autorité. Le constat est loin d’être rassurant.

The Great Deception (Part 2 of 2)

Part One of this H File investigation laid the first two strata under the Anunnaki story. The first was the nineteenth-century decipherment of cuneiform, a Protestant project built to vindicate the Bible with archaeological discoveries, which hardened into a racial contest over who invented civilization and gave Friedrich Delitzsch the platform for a scholarly campaign to cut Christianity loose from its Jewish roots, particularly the notion that Yahweh was God.

The second was the moment archaeology became statecraft, when Gertrude Bell and T. E. Lawrence walked off the dig and into the intelligence service and helped draw the borders of modern Iraq. Running through both was the broker: whoever held the chokepoint between the buried past and the meaning made of it, the money that decided what came out of the ground and the translator who decided what it was allowed to say.This installment climbs to the third stratum, the one we are still living in: how the ancient gods acquired their spaceships, how President Truman’s signature ended up on the recognition of Israel, and how the man who branded the Anunnaki connects to a publishing empire and, through it, to the crimes of Jeffrey Epstein.