Al-Qaeda Still Potent

A terror group which globalised the concept of Jihad and have existed for more than three decades is not dependent on just one leader for its survival

With the recent killing of Al-Qaeda (AQ) chief Ayman al-Zawahri in Afghan capital Kabul a lot of speculation is happening on the future of this terror outfit. Some analysts even going to the extent and suggesting that Al-Qaeda is nearing its end. But certainly that is highly unlikely. The group survived its ideological chief Osama bin Laden’s death in 2011. In fact with the killing of Zawahri Al-Qaeda may regenerate itself and become more dynamic. Ayman al-Zawahri was an Egyptian-born jihadist who became al-Qaida’s top leader in 2011 after his predecessor, Osama bin Laden, was killed by a U.S. operation. Zawahiri was not a very charismatic personality, nor was he effective at connecting with the younger generation. As a leader of AQ for over a decade, he could not bring back the lost capabilities. But he managed to keep the terror brand alive amidst the rise of Islamic State (IS). A new leader might not have these shortcomings. The trajectory of the movement might shift dangerously with a new and more effective communicator, reaching and inspiring a new generation. This happened previously with Anwar al-Awlaki re-invigorated Al-Qaeda in Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in the late 2000s. Reaching out to new audiences in new ways and identifying with Westerners in particular. Ironically, a new leader might benefit the movement, offering an opportunity to reinvigorate itself.

The US and the War Crimes in the War on Terror

“The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.”

– Thucydides, 5th Century BC.

For the past two decades, the International Criminal Court has concentrated on the war crimes and criminals who have operated in Africa. Over the past month, however, the court has issued an arrest warrant for Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Commissioner or Children’s Rights. Our own Department of Justice is even considering a federal indictment of Syrian leaders responsible for the torture and execution of an American human rights worker, Layla Shweikani. The war crimes of Syrian President Basher al-Assad are well known, but this would mark the first time that the United States has criminally charged Syrian officials with human rights abuses. There is no indication, however, that the ICC or the Department of Justice will take on the war crimes committed by the United States during its Global War on Terror in the wake of the 9/11 attacks in New York City and Washington.

Ethiopian Prime Minister to Negotiate With Oromo Forces

On April 25, 2023 the Ethiopian government and Oromo militants will meet at the negotiating table in Tanzania.

Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed said that two events will happen this week. First, “all regional states presidents will travel to Mekelle” to help cement the peace agreement reached in Pretoria, South Africa in November 2022. Second, the negotiation that will be held with OLF/Shene will start in Tanzania on April 25, 2023.

Sudan Conflict: More Complex Than Meets The Eye – Analysis

After weeks of escalating tensions, open military clashes broke out on April 15 between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), where the latter is a powerful paramilitary group. Despite the fact that both groups were previously close allies who jointly seized control of Sudan in 2021, subsequent tensions over control and decision-making on national key issues have driven them apart. This includes, but is not limited to, opposing views on the integration of the RSF into the Sudanese military and transitional planning for eventual civilian rule in Sudan. The currently developing events in Sudan resemble a typical power struggle seen in fragile states, where more than one powerful armed group exists and each is vying for control. However, the political conflict and escalating military confrontation is actually much more complex than a simplistic power struggle.

Des militants séparatistes présumés tuent six personnes au Nigeria

La violence séparatiste est l’un des dossiers prioritaires qui attendent le président élu Bola Tinubu, l’ancien gouverneur de Lagos, qui entrera en fonction le mois prochain.

Quatre policiers nigérians et deux civils ont été tués vendredi par des militants séparatistes présumés lors d’une fusillade, alors qu’ils patrouillaient dans le sud-est du pays, a annoncé samedi la police.

Mali: l’armée interpelle des combattants de la Coordination des mouvements de l’Azawad près de Ménaka

Une opération de l’armée a été menée près de Ménaka, dans le nord-est du Mali, une région passée sous la domination totale de la branche sahélienne du groupe État islamique. Dans un communiqué diffusé ce 24 avril 2023, les Forces armées (Fama) annoncent avoir mené la veille une « action majeure » dans le secteur de Tin-Fadimata, avec arrestations et matériel saisi à la clé. Mais la Coordination des mouvements de l’Azawad (CMA), mouvement signataire de l’accord de paix de 2015, indique que ce sont des combattants issus de ses rangs et non des terroristes qui ont été interpelés.

Mali : 10 civils tués dans une attaque à la voiture piégée

Dix civils et trois soldats ont été tués samedi matin lors d’une attaque à la voiture piégée dans la zone de l’aéroport de Sévaré dans la région de Mopti.

Le gouvernement a annoncé que 88 djihadistes avaient été “neutralisés” dans une vague d’effusions de sang qu’il a décrite comme une résurgence des “incidents terroristes”.

Sudan And Its Endgames

Anyone predicting what will happen or even what is happening, with total clarity, pursues a fool’s errand – the lack of clarity made worse by extensive, aggressive information operations and disinformation by both sides. But whoever winds up on top and however long the violence endures there are some broad trends that can be identified.

The Myth of Multipolarity

American Power’s Staying Power

In the 1990s and the early years of this century, the United States’ global dominance could scarcely be questioned. No matter which metric of power one looked at, it showed a dramatic American lead. Never since the birth of the modern state system in the mid-seventeenth century had any country been so far ahead in the military, economic, and technological realms simultaneously. Allied with the United States, meanwhile, were the vast majority of the world’s richest countries, and they were tied together by a set of international institutions that Washington had played the lead role in constructing. The United States could conduct its foreign policy under fewer external constraints than any leading state in modern history. And as dissatisfied as China, Russia, and other aspiring powers were with their status in the system, they realized they could do nothing to overturn it.