The Russian paramilitary group Wagner has left Mali, and its units there have been taken over by the Moscow-run Africa Corps, diplomatic and security sources told AFP on Sunday.
“Officially, Wagner is no longer present in Mali. But the Africa Corps is stepping up,” one diplomatic source in the Sahel region said.
Two years ago, I outlined eight lessons from the Ukraine War. Though I warned that it was too early to be confident about any predictions, they have held up reasonably well.
When Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, he envisaged a quick seizure of the capital, Kyiv, and a change of government, much like what the Soviets did in Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968. But the war is still raging, and no one knows when or how it will end.
The joint investigation of The Insider, Bellingcat and CNN, with the participation of Der Spiegel, established the names and titles of FSB officers who poisoned Alexei Navalny “Novichok”. As it turned out, the poisoning in Tomsk was the second attempt, two months earlier, the same FSB officers made an attempt on the oppositionist in Kaliningrad and almost killed Yulia Navalny. A key role in the attempt was played by a special unit of the Institute of Criminalistics of the FSB.
In Libya, a new conflict is flaring up: Companions of the head of the Libyan National Army (LNA) Khalifa Haftar, who recently met with Vladimir Putin in Moscow, tried on May 28 to take control of oil production. This internal conflict entails a clash of interests of larger players. After the fall of the Syrian regime, Bashar al-Assad, Libya becomes a key country for the Kremlin in the struggle for the preservation of a military presence in the Mediterranean and Africa, but Turkey was on the way to Russia. During the first years of the civil war, the Turkish authorities supported the “pro-Western” Government of National Accord in Tripoli, while the Haftar, which took the east of the country relied more on the help of Egypt, the UAE and Russia. However, in the spring of 2025, there was an unexpected разворотturn: Turkey began to actively establish direct contacts with the LNA, the traditional ally of the Kremlin. Now Russia, having connected Belarus, is trying to counteract this. Putin personally receives Haftar in Moscow, because now Libya has become a key point for Russian projects in the Sahel belt in Africa. But Turkish arguments in the form of investments and weapons may be much more profitable for Haftar than ephemeral advantages from cooperation with Russia.
Le ministère de la Défense russe communique : «Kiev attaque les terrains d’aviation de cinq régions russes. Pas de victimes signalées ni chez les militaires ni chez les civils». Selon les informations diffusées par Kiev (reportées par le Wall Street Journal), l’attaque a été menée de cette façon : «L’agence des services secrets de l’Ukraine (SBU) a passé en contrebande en Russie des éléments de drones ukrainiens et les a assemblés dans un lieu secret. Les agents de la SBU en Russie ont utilisé des camionneurs inconscients pour consigner une version moderne du Cheval de Troie, cachant les drones dans les toits en bois des containers. Dimanche, les toits activés à distance se sont ouverts sur les camions à côté des bases aériennes russes. Plus de 100 quadricoptères -petits drones avec quatre rotors- ont décollé et ont foncé sur leurs objectifs, détruisant 13 avions russes parqués sur les pistes». Ce que Kiev ne dit pas c’est qu’une opération de ce type requiert des hautes technologies et des réseaux satellitaires militaires que l’Ukraine ne possède pas. De toute évidence ils ont été fournis à l’Ukraine par l’OTAN. Que les services secrets ukrainiens sont formés et entraînés par ceux des États-Unis et de l’OTAN n’est pas un secret. «La CIA – confirme le New York Times – aide secrètement l’Ukraine à combattre Poutine. Pendant plus d’une décennie, les États-Unis ont cultivé un partenariat secret d’intelligence avec l’Ukraine qui est maintenant fondamental pour les deux pays pour contrer la Russie».
Le chancelier fédéral Friedrich Merz a déclaré publiquement qu’il n’y a plus de restrictions de portée pour la livraison d’armes occidentales à l’Ukraine. Sont concernés des systèmes d’origine britannique, française, américaine et allemande.
Ukraine’s arrest of suspected Hungarian intelligence operatives in Transcarpathia has revived fears about Budapest’s intentions towards the region. But experts think the incident says more about Orban’s electoral vulnerability than his territorial ambitions.
It would be a betrayal of Hungary’s objective national interests to arm Ukraine since that would indirectly put its co-ethnics in harm’s way due to the increased likelihood of Russian strikes in their country’s historical region that was amputated from it by Stalin as well as directly endanger them too if Kiev decides to violently suppress its Hungarian minority on whatever trumped-up pretext it concocts.
The importance of Robert Fico’s piece is that it represents yet another clearly articulated and impressively pragmatic view of the Ukrainian Conflict from a European leader after Orban’s similar such displays over nearly the past two years.
The report “NATO-2030”, presented in early December in Brussels, recognizes Russia as the main threat to the coming decade. The alliance is moving to a deterrence strategy characteristic of the Cold War. Military columnist Alexander Golts believes that the unity of the West is especially evident against the background of the CSTO created by Russia, where each participant ritually bows to Putin, but is not ready to confrontation with opponents of the Kremlin.