Month: May 2023

Kemalism Vs Kemalism In Turkish Elections – OpEd

Turkish presidential election Sunday goes down to the wires

From a geopolitical perspective, the Turkish presidential election on Sunday may appear to be one of the most crucial non-violent political events of this year. But appearances can be deceptive in Turkish politics.

In the surcharged polarisation of “West versus Rest” in international politics, western media is rooting for the defeat of incumbent President Recep Erdogan so that one of the leading proponents of multipolarity and strategic autonomy in the emerging world order who is setting a horrible example for the Global South, walks into the sunset.

Italy, France clash over immigration, again

The head of Macron’s party described Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s immigration policy as inhumane following a string of insults from the French side, which has left Italian Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini angered while Meloni focuses on turning the page.

Taliban And Islamic State Continue To Fight For Afghanistan’s Future – OpEd

The Taliban’s ability to lead Afghanistan remains questionable and ongoing instability has provided the Islamic State the opportunity for expansion.

On April 25, 2023, U.S. officials confirmed that the Taliban had killed the head of the Islamic State (IS) cell operating in Afghanistan. Though his identity has not been revealed, the IS leader is believed to have masterminded the 2021 Kabul airport attack that killed 170 Afghan civilians and 13 U.S. military personnel.

Migrants’ Mass Expulsions from Croatia Raise Legal Doubts

Croatia and Bosnia say the expulsion of hundreds of migrants and refugees from the first to the second country are regulated by a bilateral agreement – but NGOs, rights groups and a legal expert question its legality.
Since the end of March 2023, hundreds of migrants and refugees have been returned from Croatia back to Bosnia and Herzegovina.

New and Better Generation of Politicians in Bosnia is a Myth

The younger generation of politicians in Bosnia has brought about no positive change at all in the country’s confrontational politics – and won’t do in future.

Among the many follies generated by the NGO sector in Bosnia in the post-war period is that a new generation of politicians in Bosnia will bring change. This sounded both polite and hopeful. The narrative was that once the politicians of the 1990s exited the political scene, a new and a brighter beginning was assured.

Angry Ankara

Türkiye is raising the heat on the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, denouncing its ties with the Syrian Democratic Forces.

After a helicopter carrying Syrian Kurdish fighters crashed in Duhok on March 26, Türkiye imposed a ban on all flights to and from Sulaimaniyah through its airspace. It did so because it has accused the main party in Sulaimaniyah, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), of allowing members of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) to use the airport. According to the Turks, the SDF serves as a proxy for the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), which Ankara considers a terrorist organization. However, the SDF has consistently denied this link, as has the United States. Servan Kobani, the commander of the SDF’s antiterror units, the YAT, was among those killed in the crash, and is a nephew of the SDF’s top leader Mazloum Abdi.

Sudan’s Cyber War

Beneath the visible, physical fighting, another war is raging online.

In April 2023, conflict erupted again in Sudan, pitting the Sudanese armed forces against the Rapid Support Forces, RSF, a paramilitary group that is loyal to the deputy head of Sudan’s ruling council. By April 17, three days after things first escalated in Khartoum, more than 180 people had died, 1,800 were injured, and at the moment, many more have been forced to move, some to hostile regions.

Yes, Erdogan’s rule might actually end this weekend

Can elections remove an autocrat like Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan from power? If you pose this question to Turkey watchers in Western capitals to get their take on the country’s upcoming election, you will get a resounding “no” from a significant number of them. Some will say Erdogan is still very popular—or at least adept at mobilizing his followers. Others will argue that elections do not matter in the entrenched autocracy he has built; one way or another, he will find a way to stay in power. Take the Western conventional wisdom about this Sunday’s election with a grain of salt, and here’s why.

Turkey’s 2023 Elections: Perspectives on a Critical Vote

It is a cliché for politicians to claim that an upcoming election is the most critical vote in the history of the country. In Turkey’s case, however, the presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14 are indeed the most consequential ever. The prospects for Turkey’s democratic future are at stake. If President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan wins another term, Turkey will degenerate further into authoritarianism in which elections will not matter. If the opposition wins, however, Turkey’s democracy will have a shot at consolidating. While there is much optimism among opposition supporters that change through the ballot box is within reach, anxiety and fear over election security are not in short supply either.