Lebanese political analyst Mikhael Awad said in a July 18, 2022 show on Al-Manar TV (Hizbullah-Lebanon) that according to the “data,” a potential war between Israel and Hizbullah would be decided in only two days. He explained that Hizbullah would rapidly reach Nazareth and the Israeli-Arab town of Umm Al-Fahm, and that within a short period of time, Israel would have no territory left from which to launch missiles, planes, and warships. He also said that war is the cheaper and “easier” option for Lebanon, and he gave the example of the Second Lebanon War, claiming that everything that had been destroyed in the war had been rebuilt at no cost to Lebanon. In addition, he said that he hopes war breaks out because Israel is a “cancerous growth” that can only be removed surgically. Moreover, Awad said that such a war would spell the end of Israel, of the current Arab regimes, and of the Sykes-Picot divisions, and that it would restructure the entire world around the “pillar” of the “resistance”. He added that the U.S. and Europe would not participate in the war because this would drive up the price of oil.
Mikhael Awad: “War is the easiest option. Absolutely. What would a war cost us? In the July (2006) war, 2,300 people were martyred. Everything that had been destroyed was built again, and it wasn’t even Lebanon’s money. The next war, if it breaks out… I am saying this on the basis of data. It is not me being overly optimistic…”
Interviewer: “No, no. We have confirmed the data.”
Awad: “No matter what comes to be, the war will be decided in only two days. On the third day, the resistance will reach Umm Al-Fahm and Nazareth…”
Interviewer: “Nasrallah said that the enemy would surrender at the beginning, middle, or end of the war. Or before it even started…”
Awad: “During the first attack, the Israelis will send their missiles and airplanes, but in the second attack, they will have no territory left from which to send their airplanes, missiles, and warships.
[…]
“Nobody should try to intimidate us with [talk about] war. That’s one thing. The second point is that personally, I hope that a war breaks out, because this cancerous growth needs to be surgically removed.”
Interviewer: “What’s more likely? That the U.S. surrenders to Lebanon’s will, or that we go to war?”
Awad: “Listen, in my opinion, the Israelis and Americans understand what’s going on. They are reasonable…”
Interviewer: “So it does not serve their interest…”
Awad: “They take into consideration that if a war breaks out, it’s the end for Israel, and when Israel is finished, so are the [Arab] regimes, and the Sykes-Picot divisions that were the products of World War I. The entire region will be restructured around the pillar of the resistance. If the resistance axis takes over the region, it will restructure the world. Historically speaking, it is this region that has restructured the world. This is happening right now. If not for our wars and victories, none of what is happening with Russia and China would have taken place. In my opinion, the Israelis and Americans are pragmatic. They are enemies and sons of bitches, you can describe them whatever way you like, but they will sit down and say: ‘If we go to war, we lose everything.’ Europe and the U.S. will not go to war over oil and gas in the Mediterranean. As soon as the first bullet is fired, the price of oil will rise to $200 per barrel, and then we will see who among the influential forces…”
Interviewer: “President Biden came to bring the prices down…”
Awad: “This is why they cannot go to war.”