Orientul Mijlociu

Iranian leaders face fundamental questions about their strategy and military priorities in the aftermath of the Israel-Iran war. They failed to deter US and Israeli strikes or to defend their airspace, giving Israeli forces the freedom to strike a wide range of critical targets across Iran. Iranian missile forces failed to penetrate Israeli air defenses at any significant scale, preventing Iran from imposing a serious cost on Israel for its strike campaign. These events represent a complete failure of Iranian security policy, which has long focused on deterring and defending against a conventional attack by the United States and Israel. Iranian leaders must now rethink their military approach fundamentally, which could change how they wield the forces at their disposal. They could, among other things, reconsider the division of responsibilities between their two military institutions: the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and the conventional military known as the Artesh. Tehran has traditionally assigned its most critical missions to the IRGC but could increasingly look to the Artesh in the months and years ahead, especially given how poorly the IRGC fared in the recent fighting. This report examines the order of battle of the Artesh Ground Forces to inform the public discourse ahead of any major changes to Iranian security policy.

With Iran’s regional influence in steep decline, Turkey is aggressively positioning itself to fill the vacuum and assert dominance across the eastern Mediterranean and the broader Middle East. This ambition is clearly evidenced by Ankara’s rapid military buildup, its expanding engagement with African states such as Libya and Somalia, and its assertive military activity in Syria, all of which exploit Tehran’s retreat from the regional stage.

The clock strikes 9:00 a.m. My mom gives the apartment a final check before closing it up for the next few months. My dad is waiting for us outside. The cab taking us to the airport for our return to Germany, has arrived on time — these are the last moments of a week spent in Kosovo.

Cela paraît difficile à imaginer, pourtant Israël se lance aujourd’hui dans un projet d’extension qui devrait le conduire à annexer prochainement la capitale syrienne, Damas. Déjà le président autoproclamé, le jihadiste Ahmed al-Charaa, s’est réfugié à Idleb sous la protection de la Türkiye.

À l’époque du «collectif Biden» – groupe imposteur de la Maison-Blanche qui a suppléé aux défaillances de l’ancien président handicapé par «l’auto-pen» (signature automatisée apocryphe) aussi illégale que frauduleuse -, le projet de corridor géoéconomique projeté depuis l’Inde, en passant par les Émirats arabes unis (EAU), l’Arabie saoudite(AS) jusqu’en Israël et en Europe a été détourné par l’étrange attaque de la guérilla palestinienne du Hamas, aujourd’hui décimée au maximum.

In Israel, the Druze community occupies a complex position: celebrated as loyal citizens by the state, yet subject to systemic inequalities that have persisted since the 1950s. Their story has returned to the spotlight amid speculation about Israel’s intentions toward Syria’s Druze-majority Suweida province — a prospect that analysts say is unlikely, but revealing of deeper regional dynamics.

Bottom Line Up Front

Trump officials have given Lebanon’s government an ultimatum to take control of Lebanese Hezbollah’s arsenal of heavy weapons or forgo U.S. efforts to compel Israel to withdraw from its positions in southern Lebanon.

U.S. officials expect Lebanon’s cabinet, at a meeting this week, to issue an Executive Order on Hezbollah disarmament that satisfies core U.S. demands without triggering conflict with Hezbollah’s supporters and Lebanese Shia Muslims more broadly.

Iran’s regime is built on the belief that it must export its revolutionary Islamist vision, overthrow secular governments, and unify the Muslim world under a single Shiite Islamist state. This project is its purpose. It is what gives the Islamic Republic of Iran its identity. Its constitution enshrines that vision, and its institutions — from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to its intelligence services — are structured around advancing this goal.

There are times when it is difficult to bring myself to my writer’s desk, when I know there is something that desperately needs to be acknowledged, but I barely have the words for it. And if I could find them, I ask myself what effect could one small voice possibly have. Is this even a meaningful process? Daily seeing pictures of children with bones sticking out of their emaciated flesh, let alone children missing limbs, while most of the western world continues support for Israel, pierces me with a sense of despair at our seeming helplessness to stop this horror.

Unifying and deradicalizing Syria’s armed forces will be the regime’s most formidable challenge.

The United States has now lifted all sanctions on Syria, except on some individuals and entities associated with the former Assad regime. Additionally, the United States has revoked the foreign terrorist organization designation for Syria’s Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). This comes after Washington approved the Syrian leadership’s plan to incorporate thousands of foreign jihadists into the new Syrian army, dropping its longstanding demand that the new leadership deport or detain foreign fighters.

Earlier this year, the Arab Gulf states were riding high. The energy crisis that followed the coronavirus pandemic had filled their coffers and renewed their roles as the stewards of global oil markets—and, in Qatar’s case, a reliable source of liquefied natural gas. Over the past few years, the Gulf countries have tactfully navigated the great-power competition between China, Russia, and the United States and successfully managed their relations with regional rivals, including Iran and Turkey.