Orientul Mijlociu

The assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei represents a pivotal moment in the history of Iran. It opens a complex phase of political transition in light of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, mounting internal pressure, and the intensifying competition between the reformists and hardliners. The succession of the Supreme Leader may ultimately be determined either through constitutional mechanisms or through the Interim Leadership Council. Three main scenarios emerge: the continuation of the existing power structure with a new conservative Supreme Leader, a redistribution of authority that reduces the powers of the Supreme Leader in favor of the elected institutions, or a structural change that could affect the Guardianship of the Islamic Jurist principle and nature of the regime, depending on the course of the war and the internal balances.

Si la justice prévaut en Palestine, elle prévaudra inévitablement au Liban, en Syrie et au-delà. Et le stéréotype éculé du Moyen-Orient déchiré par la guerre disparaîtra enfin.

Imaginons une Palestine libérée. Prenons le temps de concevoir comment la justice pour le peuple palestinien redéfinirait non seulement la région, mais aussi, en définitive, le monde entier.

Even as his country was under threat from Iran, Oman’s ruler congratulated the Islamic Republic’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, on his appointment, expressing his “best wishes for success in assuming his leadership responsibilities.” Less than 48 hours later, Iranian drones struck Oman’s Salalah Port, hitting the fuel tanks. On March 13, an Iranian drone attack killed two people in the coastal city of Sohar.

Mojtaba Khamenei, the second son of Iran’s late supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been selected as the country’s new supreme leader following his father’s death in attacks on Tehran, Iranian state media reported.

Israeli forces expanded their bombardment of Iran overnight, striking fuel ​depots near Tehran, while Bahrain said an Iranian attack had damaged one of its desalination plants, signalling a widening assault on vital infrastructure across the region.

La guerre en Iran tourne mal & les services de renseignement américains montent au créneau pour dire : “Ne nous faites pas porter le chapeau, on vous avait prévenus”.

Commençons par la grande nouvelle du jour révélée par une fuite des services de renseignement américains au Washington Post… John Hudson et Warren P. Strobel ont obtenu l’information :

Avec l’opération “Epic Fury”, Washington renonce à toute prétention d’“ordre fondé sur des règles”, recourant à la force pour façonner une civilisation ancienne au profit des Juifs sionistes.

En psychologie, on observe un phénomène appelé “effet Dunning-Kruger”.

If the succession process can be carried out as Khamenei intended, it will likely bring a hardliner into power.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s death on Saturday after U.S. and Israeli airstrikes hit his compound immediately re-invoked the succession issue inside Iran, along with threats from the U.S. president to interfere in the process. While serving as the supreme leader for almost thirty-seven years and as the longest-acting head of state in the region since the shah, Khamenei faced scrutiny and speculation for years over who he would favor as his successor.

It may seem that the US and the Middle East are currently embarking on yet another forever war. But the truth is that this is just the latest instalment of an undeclared military conflict between the two nations that has been ongoing since the 1980s.

Armed Kurdish groups along Iran’s north-western border with Iraq have come into focus as a potential ground force that could move against Tehran, as the US-Israeli war continues.

Quoting Kurdish officials, AP reported that Kurdish-Iranian dissident groups in northern Iraq were getting ready for a possible operation inside Iran and that Washington has asked Iraqi Kurds to assist.