Orientul Mijlociu

Nous reproduisons ici l’éditorial du numéro 24 de la revue de géopolitique Conflits, ayant pour thème « Djihadisme, mafias: la World Connection »

Alors que l’Etat islamique perd son territoire, les cyberdjihadistes investissent la toile. Ils se donnent pour mission d’activer et d’encourager les « loups solitaires. » L’Autrichienne Julia Ebner a enquêté sur leurs méthodes et sur d’autres radicalités en ligne.

The Islamic State’s crimes, and the fear they instilled, have long since woven themselves into the fabric of French life.

Three scenarios emerge as Prime minister’s departure ushers in period of horse-trading among major political players.

Beirut, Lebanon – With the recent resignation of now-caretaker Prime Minister Saad Hariri amid unprecedented protests, Lebanon is entering a phase of political wrangling in which Hezbollah and its allies will be decisive.

What do Arab governments know about Hezbollah that the European Union refuses to acknowledge? The Arab League and Gulf Cooperation Council both have labeled Hezbollah a terrorist organization.

In an Oct. 2 speech to the top commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, asked them to be ready for “big events.” In characteristically vague language, Khamenei was issuing a warning to his domestic opponents, President Hassan Rouhani, and the country’s foreign foes. His choice of speaking to the IRGC bosses was anything but coincidental.

The Trump administration inherited a number of complex problems in the Syrian file from its predecessors in the White House. In dealing with the Syrian crisis, the Obama administration had three main priorities: not disturbing Iran in Syria during the process of nuclear negotiations, working with Russia toward a ceasefire in various parts of Syria (without trusting that Russia could deliver or should have the upper hand), and, most importantly, carrying out a limited military intervention in the northeast to defeat ISIS — an issue it considered separately from the Syrian crisis.

After violent confrontations with the government of Yemen and repeated struggles for autonomy, members of the Southern Transitional Council (STC), which represents a political movement that calls for secession, appeared satisfied with the terms of a deal that will be signed with the government of Yemen in Riyadh on Oct. 31. The Saudi-brokered agreement united the conflicting parties in their fight against the Iran-backed Houthis, with a strong vision aimed at stopping any side-show that could endanger this effort.

The state-controlled media in Tehran are advising the “authorities” in Beirut and Baghdad to crush the popular uprisings “by all means necessary”. One of Tehran’s Iraqi propagandists even advised Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi “to kill leaders of sedition (fitna)” who had gathered in a restaurant in Baghdad.

Le nouveau président Kaïs Saïed a prêté serment, mercredi 23 octobre, devant l’Assemblée. Son discours d’investiture a été certes rassurant, mais n’a pas permis d’en savoir plus sur ses orientations, ni de dissiper les inquiétudes engendrées par les thèmes développés au cours de sa campagne.