Orientul Mijlociu

Introduction

After the Israel-Hamas ceasefire went into effect January 19, 2025, senior Iranian regime officials, headed by Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, praised the resistance of the Palestinian people for, as they depicted it, forcing Israel to submit to its demands and accept the ceasefire. Along with statements such as “the ultimate victory belongs to the Palestinian people,” regime spokesmen promised that the Iran-led resistance axis would be rebuilt and continue to fight to eradicate Israel and would also continue to herald the achievements of the aim of Iran’s Islamic Revolution – the imminent destruction of the State of Israel.

Q. Has Turkey taken any steps to acquire nuclear weapons?

Ankara appears to be taking quiet but deliberate steps toward producing enriched uranium fuel, which has dual purposes in fueling nuclear reactors and nuclear weapons. In October 2024, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan and National Intelligence Chief Ibrahim Kalin visited Niger, securing a provisional mining agreement with the country’s junta government. The most plausible explanation for this deal is Turkey’s intent to secure access to uranium, potentially laying the groundwork for developing the fuel cycle to produce enriched uranium.

President Donald Trump’s stunning proposal to forcibly transfer hundreds of thousands of Palestinians out of the Gaza Strip and develop it as a tourist destination faces major obstacles.

The Palestinians and many others view such plans as an attempt to drive them from their homeland after Israel’s 15-month offensive against Hamas rendered much of it uninhabitable. It was also seen as an attempt to liquidate their decades-long struggle for a state, which has wide international support.

On January 29, 2025, a “Convention to Announce the Victory of the Syrian Revolution” was held in Damascus, where Ahmed Al-Sharaa aka Abu Muhammad Al-Joulani, who had served as leader of jihadi group Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS), was announced interim president of Syria.[1] A “Statement Announcing the Victory of the Syrian Revolution” was also issued by the HTS-linked Military Operations Command, cancelling the Assad regime’s 2012 constitution, disbanding the People’s Assembly, and dissolving the previous regime’s military, security agencies and militias, as well as the Baath party and National Progressive Front. The statement also announced the dissolution of all rebel military factions and political and civilian institutions, merging them into those of the Syrian state.[2]

On January 29, 2025, Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) leader Ahmed Al-Sharaa aka Abu Muhammad Al-Joulani, described as the “leader of the new Syrian administration,” delivered an address titled “Victory Speech.”[1] Al-Sharaa celebrated the triumph of the Syrian revolution, as he announces radical transformation marked by leadership change, political restructuring, economic recovery, and diplomatic reintegration.

The new Trump administration does not want war. Yet, if Iran becomes more aggressive and gets to the point of reaching a nuclear bomb, how can the Trump administration pursue a policy that will not need to send American troops to the Middle East?

The Islamic republic of Iran will not give up on its nuclear program. In that case, Israel will follow its Begin Doctrine, in order not to allow Tehran to get the atomic bomb. However, if Israel strikes Iran’s nuclear capabilities, the Islamic republic regime will be weakened but will not collapse and will resume its subversive activities in the region and in the world.

Although the Turkish state’s interest in Turkish migrants and children born in foreign countries is a new thing, a noticeable approach has emerged since the late 2000s and the early 2010s. This new phase, which was qualified by the systematization of rapid institutionalization and soft power strategies, foresees the creation of new state institutions; open interest in mobilizing youth; the expiation of international influence in the educational, cultural and religious fields of various state and civil society actors; and finally (not the last one), a wider approach of diaspora framed with religious unity.

The United States has begun the process to again declare the Iran-backed Huthi rebel group of Yemen as a foreign terrorist organization (FTO), restoring the designation President Donald Trump set out during his first term.

“Supported by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force, which arms and trains terrorist organizations worldwide, the Huthis have fired at U.S. Navy warships dozens of times since 2023, endangering American men and women in uniform,” a White House statement said on January 22.

Latest Developments

Battles Near Tishreen Dam Continue: Heavy fighting between the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the Turkish-backed Syrian National Army (SNA) around the Tishreen Dam in northeastern Syria was ongoing on January 21, the SDF said. According to the SDF, the Turkish-backed factions have launched intense shelling and drone strikes in the area. Since January 15, clashes between Kurdish forces and the Turkish-backed SNA in Aleppo Governorate have escalated, resulting in 18 fatalities amid ongoing artillery and drone exchanges.