Orientul Mijlociu

It would be right to say that Hamas is responsible for the genocide of Palestinians being carried out by Israel in the Gaza Strip for the last two weeks. Hamas, which came into existence in 1987, is responsible for the current genocide of Palestinians, but for the killings of Israeli civilians in Hamas’s October 7 attack, Israel and its supporting countries are responsible even before Hamas. This fact has come to light from many sources that in order to eliminate the strength/solidarity of civil resistance based on Arab/Palestinian identity, Israel had created the terrorist force of Hamas based on Islamic jihadist identity. Israel collaborated with Hamas co-founder Sheikh Ahmed Yassin to weaken the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) and Fatah. Sheikh Yassin, who used to walk in a wheelchair, was assassinated in a target-killing by Israel in 2004.

The US and Israel have different end goals in bombing Gaza to bits: Tel Aviv wants to ethnically cleanse it of Palestinians and Washington wants to bring back the PA. Both plans, however, are likely to hit an Axis of Resistance wall.

As wholly expected, and in line with decades of its foreign policy, Washington has thrown its full weight behind “standing with Israel” and its genocidal onslaught on Gaza. But while the two allies’ public stances line up prettily at this stage of the conflict, their views diverge on what comes next – specifically over the elimination of Hamas and other Palestinian resistance groups in Gaza.

The Houthi movement was established in Yemen in the early 1990s, based on Shiite Zaydi
Muslim residents, who make up about 30% of the country’s population. In 2004, the
movement mounted a rebellion against the central government in Yemen because it had
become too closely affiliated with the US and Israel. Until 2009, six rounds of fighting
between the parties took place, at the end of which the Houthis established autonomy in
northern Yemen. Over time, the Houthis managed to increase their power and areas of
control, and in 2015, they deposed the incumbent president. This move has led, among other
things, to the establishment of a coalition of Arab countries, led by Saudi Arabia and the
United Arab Emirates, which set itself the goal of defeating the Houthis and restoring the
previous regime. In response, the Houthis also began to carry out attacks on the territory of
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, using advanced weapons provided by Iran.

DÉCRYPTAGE – La bannière a été associée à l’État Islamique et interprétée comme le signe d’un lien avec le Hamas, ce que plusieurs experts jugent improbable.

Jeudi 12 octobre, cinq jours après l’offensive du Hamas en Israël, les images d’une bannière noire, traditionnellement associée à l’État Islamique – aussi appelé Daech -, ont été diffusées sur les réseaux sociaux et par plusieurs médias israéliens. Ces derniers affirment que le bout de tissu a été retrouvé par des soldats israéliens dans le kibboutz de Sufa, situé près de Gaza, «parmi les équipements laissés par les terroristes», selon i24 news.

As Israel prepares for a possible full-scale ground incursion into Gaza, there is much speculation over a possible Iranian response, including the potential deployment of its proxy forces to escalate the conflict further.

Kata’ib Sayyid al-Shuhada, Kata’ib Hezbollah, and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba stand out as the groups most likely to become involved of the nearly 50 other Iraqi Shia militias that operate under Iran’s umbrella.

Des centaines de kilomètres de tunnels sous la bande de Gaza présenteront un défi pour une opération au sol imminente d’Israël, estiment plusieurs analystes américains. Dotés de tout le nécessaire pour mener des combats à long terme, ces réseaux fortifiés du Hamas tourneraient au «cauchemar» pour les forces israéliennes.

The chain of mass protests that swept through the countries of the Maghreb and the Middle East led not only to the undemocratic replacement of political elites and destabilized the socio-economic situation in the region, but actually became the beginning of the use of a new mechanism for the global redivision of the world. The use of so-called “soft power” as a set of predominantly non-violent measures to achieve political and economic goals with the involvement of large protest masses of the population was called the “Arab Spring”. These events in the Arab region demonstrated to the world community the effect of so-called “controlled chaos” technologies, which have not been fully studied by specialists and require a comprehensive analysis at the intersection of various sciences, from political science to neurophysiology and human psychology. The techniques used in hybrid wars are not based on socio-economic or political problems, but are based on new technologies for turning off the critical consciousness of people and involve the emotional and subconscious spheres of the personality of those being manipulated. It is important to note that mass protests of civilians against the authorities took place in countries with high rates of economic growth, with a poverty level of no more than 20% and a relatively low level of corruption. In the traditional understanding of the term “revolution,” in these countries there were no objective prerequisites for popular anti-government protest. However, the destabilization of the situation occurred almost instantly and led to the overthrow of the existing governments. In these cases, fundamentally new mechanisms were used to control the protest crowd [1]. An important point in the events of the “Arab Spring” was the widespread use of the Internet and various information and communication technologies, which played the role of a driver and system-forming principle for the protest masses.

Against the backdrop of another conflict in Palestine, the news that Saudi Arabia suspended negotiations with Israel became the reason for a broader interpretation of events affecting the interests of India, Iran, the EU, Russia and China. Although wars in the Middle East have always affected the whole world, especially the Eurasian region, in a certain way, this case is indeed connected with the plans of a number of states regarding both Israel and Saudi Arabia.

Let’s try to describe one of the possible scenarios for further escalation in the Middle East.

The Palestinian uprising begins in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. Fatah cannot contain the situation. Seeing how Israel is carrying out full-fledged genocide in the Gaza Strip, the Palestinians are launching a total rebellion. The IDF continues to destroy the civilian population of the Gaza Strip. Protests are growing around the world against Western pro-American liberal elites who unanimously stand for Israel. Hezbollah moves in and crowds of Arabs from Jordan break through the border cordons. The United States is launching preventive strikes on Iran, which is increasingly drawn into the conflict, and they are striking Israel. Syria enters the war, attacking the Golan Heights. There is a rapid mobilization of the entire Islamic world.

On October 19, 2023, Telegram channels linked to Iran-backed militias shared a statement issued by the “Islamic Resistance In Iraq,” an Iran-backed joint operations room consisting of Iraqi militias. The statement claimed responsibility for a missile attack on Ein Al-Assad base which houses U.S. forces in Iraq. The attack comes as part of the militias’ support for the October 7 attack by Gaza-based Hamas on Israel.[1]