Why Sudan’s Democratic Transition Depends on Stability in Darfur

The transitional government in Sudan announced last month that it will extradite former dictator Omar al-Bashir to the International Criminal Court in The Hague, where he is wanted on charges of genocide and crimes against humanity committed in Sudan’s Darfur region. The move was a sign that the new government in Khartoum, which took over last year after Bashir was ousted by the military amid popular protests, is trying to present itself as a responsible member of the international community. It also wants to draw a clear line under the Bashir era domestically and undertake serious peace negotiations with rebel groups, including in Darfur, where armed conflict persists.

A joint peacekeeping mission led by the United Nations and the African Union, known as UNAMID, has been deployed to Darfur since 2007. But its mandate is scheduled to end this fall, and the peacekeepers have been gradually leaving.

Nigeria’s Diverse Security Threats

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari has said Nigeria is facing “a state of emergency” as a result of ongoing insecurity. This emergency is commonly understood as the threat posed by Boko Haram in the country’s northeast. However, this understates the complexity and multidimensional nature of Nigeria’s security challenges, which impact all of the country’s regions. At the same time, armed violence is not omnipresent across Nigeria and is primarily concentrated in specific geographic corridors. Following is a review of Nigeria’s diverse security threats, the risks they pose, and the landscapes in which they have germinated.

Unanswered Questions Swirl Following Burkina Faso Murders

Confirmed by the Spanish prime minister, Western media reports that two Spanish filmmakers and the Irish president of a conservation non-governmental organization (NGO) were murdered in Burkina Faso near the border with Benin on April 26. Roberto Fraile and David Beriain were in Burkina Faso working on a documentary about poaching. They were accompanied by Rory Young, a Zambia-born Irish citizen who headed Chengeta Wildlife, an NGO devoted to training local residents to counter wildlife poaching; Chengeta reports it trained ninety rangers and other personnel in Africa last year.

Ethiopia: Violence Instability And The Need For Law And Order – OpEd

An unresolved war in the north of the country; ethnic based violence some are describing as genocide in the West; random explosions of aggression in various regions: Ethiopia is trembling.

With around 117 million people, Ethiopia has the second largest population in Africa, made up of 80 or so tribal groups, all with their own cultures, language or dialect. Three big ones dominate: The Oromo (35% of population), Amhara (27%) and Tigrayan (6%). Historic disputes over land and power exist between these powerful groups; grievances which are being aggravated by pernicious elements attempting to destabilize the country.

Three Westerners and a Burkinabe missing after attack in eastern Burkina Faso

Four people, including three Europeans and a Burkinabe, were missing after an anti-poaching patrol was attacked in eastern Burkina Faso on Monday, security and local sources said.

The group — composed of soldiers, forest rangers and foreign reporters — was targeted in the Fada N’Gourma-Pama area, according to a local official, who added “the provisional toll reports three people injured, four missing”.

Libya PM calls off Benghazi visit after security turned back

Libya’s interim prime minister called off his visit Monday to the country’s east after a government advance security team was turned back from the airport in the eastern city of Benghazi, officials said.

Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeibah and his Cabinet were to hold a meeting in Benghazi, the main stronghold of Libya’s east-based forces loyal to military commander Khalifa Hifter.

DR Congo PM Says Not Ruling Out ‘State Of Emergency’ In East

DR Congo’s new prime minister on Monday said he would not rule out a “state of emergency” in the country’s east, where the armed forces are struggling with militia groups.

“No option will be excluded,” Prime Minister Jean-Michel Sama Lukonde said in his inaugural speech to the National Assembly, referring to violence gripping three eastern provinces, North and South Kivu and Ituri.

Somalia’s PM rejects proposed presidential term extension

Somalia’s prime minister denounced a proposed extension of the president’s term on Tuesday, piling pressure on President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed to hold elections as rival factions in the security forces drew up battle lines in the capital.

The heads of two regional states who had been staunch allies of the president also rejected the proposed two-year extension of Mohamed’s term.

Earlier this month, the lower house of parliament voted to extend his four-year term by another two years, after the country failed to hold elections as planned in February. The Senate rejected the move, provoking the crisis.

“We call for an urgent election. Any form of extension should be cancelled,” the presidents of the Hirshabelle and Galmudug regions said in a joint statement on Facebook.

Prime Minister Mohamed Hussein Roble then issued his own statement, calling for preparations for a new presidential election.

“I welcome the statement issued by Galmudug and Hirshabelle states,” he said on Twitter.

Mohamed’s attempt to extend his term has angered foreign donors who backed his government, hoping it would help bring stability and quash the al Qaeda-linked al Shabaab insurgency. But the proposed extension has pitted factions in the security forces against each other.

Opposition forces have abandoned positions in the countryside as they headed for a showdown in the capital, allowing al Shabaab to take over at least one town.

The U.S. Embassy in Mogadishu tweeted support for the premier and the two state presidents after they issued their statement.

CLASHES AND CLANS

Forces loyal to the opposition hold important parts of the city and clashed with government forces over the weekend, fuelling worries the country could return to all-out war.

The unrest is the second bout of violence in Mogadishu over an extension to Mohamed’s term. Continued clashes could further splinter Somali security forces along ethnic lines, said the International Crisis Group, a think-tank.

“Somalia is teetering on the brink of a major breakdown once again,” it said in a briefing published on Tuesday.

Mohamed is Darod, one of Somalia’s major clans. The majority of the Somali military in the capital are Hawiye, another large clan. Most of the opposition leaders are Hawiye.

Earlier on Tuesday, Turkish-trained Haramcad (“Cheetah”) police forces raided independent Mustaqbal Radio station, owned by a Hawiye businessman, and confiscated equipment.

Somalia’s fledgling armed forces are drawn from clan militias who have often battled each other for power and resources.

Internal Security Minister Hassan Hundubey told a news conference that government forces had been restrained to avoid harming civilians and said, without providing evidence, that “thieves” were breaking into houses and killing people.

The African Union peacekeeping mission in Somalia, the United Nations mission there, and a dozen other mainly African and Western nations condemned the outbreak of violence and urged restraint.

“We are alarmed especially by the emerging fragmentation of the Somali National Army (SNA) along clan lines…,” a joint statement said.

‘ANTICIPATED BATTLE’

On Tuesday morning, residents fled some Mogadishu neighbourhoods, fearing violence.

“More well-armed pro-opposition troops have settled in this area of Siigaale, they told us to move,” said Abdullahi Mohamed, a local elder. Siigale is near a road that leads to the presidential palace.

Kaaha Ahmed, a mother of five, said she fled Hodan district after pro-government forces arrived: “We did not want to be caught up in the anticipated battle.”

By Tuesday afternoon, government forces had sealed off the presidential palace with concrete barricades, a resident told Reuters.

Neither information ministry spokesman Ismail Mukhtar Omar nor police spokesman Sadik Ali answered calls or texts seeking comment.

Overnight, Reuters journalists saw large numbers of government troops deployed in strategic locations, including near the house of opposition presidential candidate Abdirahman Abdishakur, where clashes took place on Sunday, and in the Gashandhiga area, which is where the military is headquartered.

UN experts say South Sudan divisions widen, new war possible

U.N. experts are warning that political, military and ethnic divisions in South Sudan are widening, leading to multiple violent incidents between the main signatories to last year’s cease-fire, the possibility of renewed war, and nearly 100,000 people facing “famine-like conditions.”

The experts said in an 81-page report circulated Monday that the slow pace of reforms by President Salva Kiir’s government and more than a year of political disputes and disagreements over how to implement the February 2020 cease-fire and a 2018 peace agreement has led to frayed relations between Kiir and First Vice President Riek Machar.