All Quiet on the Caucasus front

Clashes have erupted between the Republic of Azerbaijan and Armenia over the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region, less than two months after the last military conflict in the highly volatile region. In this conflict, the military units of the two sides inflicted significant losses and damages on each other in different ways, turning this conflict into one of the most intense military conflicts in the region in recent years, which is on the verge of becoming a full-scale war. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev called the conflict the beginning of the liberation of the Nagorno-Karabakh region.

Nagorno-Karabakh, religious war?

So far, there have been many wars over beliefs between human beings, some of which have been over religious beliefs and some have not. For example, widespread conflicts between communists and capitalists or the American Civil War were not formally the result of a religious belief, although they could be considered a war on some beliefs. Of course, there are a variety of Reductionist theories that emphasize many official positions are merely superstructures of economic or racial issues. The most radicals are those who see war as inherent in human beings, and even economics and resource wars as superstructures.

Improving Prospects for Peace after the Nagorno-Karabakh War

Russian mediation succeeded in ending the six-week war in Nagorno-Karabakh but left much unresolved, chiefly the region’s future status. If the cessation of hostilities is to become a sustainable peace, the parties should start by cooperating on humanitarian relief and trade before tackling larger questions.

Security Forces Kill Man Armed with Suicide Belt in Katyr-Yurt Village, Chechnya, Russia

On 15 December, 32 year-old Kazbek Baidylaev was killed during a police raid in Chechnya, Russia. He had been at large since 2012 when local authorities added him to a federal criminal search list. In 2008, he and his brother Anzor were sentenced to six months in prison as members of an illegal armed group. Since 2016, K. Baidylaev fought in Syria, but returned to Russia in 2020. As local media states, police has already declared Baidylaev killed in October of 2020, in the Sernovodsk region of Chechnya, where police conducted a special operation. Since Kazbek Baidylaev was known to security forces since 2012, it is likely he was at least at one time affiliated with Caucasus Emirate (CE). Some sources claim he was a part of Aslan Byutukayev’s group. Since many of the Caucasus Emirate (CE) supporters went on to form the kernels of Islamic State’s Russian affiliate, Wilayat Kavkaz / Qawqaz, it cannot be truly known where his allegiances lie. This marks the second would-be suicide bomber in four days within Russia. On 11 December, a suicide bomber detonated outside the Federal Security Service (FSB) Headquarters in Uchkeken, Karachayevo-Cherkessiya Region of the North Caucasus. Important to note because Russia has clamped down on acquisitions for possible explosive material by individuals.

What did Turkey gain from the Armenia-Azerbaijan war?

In 2011, the International Crisis Group wrote that if a war broke out between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Turkey risked being “dragged in” to the conflict. “Public pressure” might force Ankara to intervene in support of Azerbaijan, the ICG wrote, “contrary to [its] larger foreign policy interests.” As a result, Turkish officials were “doing all they can to persuade Baku war would be a ‘nightmare scenario.’”

Ukrainian Bayraktar TB2 unmanned aerial vehicles with increased control range

Ukrainian tactical unmanned aerial vehicles Bayraktar TB2 conduct exercises together with artillery and aviation at the Shirokolanski training ground in the vicinity of Mikolaevo, learned BulgarianMilitary.com citing Defence24. For this purpose, the machines fly almost 500 km from their home air base in Starokostiantyniv, which confirms the information about the modification increasing the control range of these machines.

Turkey’s strategic victory in Nagorno-Karabakh

Russian President Vladimir Putin declared on Tuesday that Azerbaijan and Armenia had signed a peace agreement, ending six weeks of fierce fighting between the two countries over Nagorno-Karabakh. The mountainous region is internationally-recognised as part of Azerbaijan but has been occupied and run by ethnic Armenians since 1994.

The New Kings of Jihadist Terrorism: Azerbaijan and Turkey

The vicious war against the Armenian Republic of Artsakh (Nagorno-Karabagh) and Armenia by Azerbaijan, Turkey, and thousands of their jihadist terrorists has passed the one month mark.

The jihadis’ presence, which includes ISIS, is consistent with the debauched political cultures and national ambitions of Azerbaijan and Turkey. It also tells us that the U.S./NATO/EU stance towards those countries continues to be dangerously passive.

Nearly 145 Jihadist Mercenaries Killed in Azerbaijan, Several fighters Return to Syria Fleeing Violent Battles

Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) activists have confirmed that the Turkish government has transported a new batch of mercenaries from Syria to Azerbaijan. The recent batch has comprised over 400 fighters of “Sultan Murad”, “Al-Hamzat Division” and other factions, who were supposed to be sent earlier to Azerbaijan. However, Turkey’s transfer of Syrian mercenaries to Nagorno-Karabakh has been suspended for awhile due to the ceasefire agreement. Accordingly, the total number of Syrian fighters sent to Azerbaijan has risen to at least 2,050.